Browsing: Tara’s Weekly Lock

Jaguars +2.5 MJD is the rare player who can holdout for most of training camp and still come in and produce.  He gets to go against a Bengals defense that ranks 31st in the NFL against the rush this week.  I expect big numbers from him and I expect the Jags to control the clock by keeping the ball on the ground most of the day.  Cincinnati is 0-7-2 against the spread (ATS) in their last 9 games v. the AFC. Taking a home underdog is typically considered a “sharp” play, and the “sharp” bettors do appear to be on…

Chargers -3 The Falcons have to travel cross-country here on a short week after playing on Monday night.  The Dirty Birds are 2-0 and look like world beaters right now, but they have consistently looked like world beaters at home for the past few seasons.  Look for this to be a letdown spot for them.  Another team that is consistently good at home is the Chargers.   Last week the Chargers gained 148 yards on the ground, and that has been Atlanta’s weakness on defense, giving up 270 rushing yards and 4 rushing scores in their first 2 games.   On the…

Vikings -1.5 Andrew didn’t have much Luck in his NFL debut.  I have no doubt that this future star will have a breakout game early this season.  But, I don’t believe it will come against Jared Allen and the Vikings D.  Turnovers are key in the NFL and Luck had 3 interceptions in Week 1, while second year QB, Ponder had none.  Adrian Peterson looked great coming off knee surgery, and utility man, Percy Harvin looked as good as ever in Week 1 as well.  With Dwight Freeney most likely on the sideline, I think the Colts will have a…

Eagles (-8.5) Last year they were the “Dream Team.”  Yeah.  The “Dream Team” that finished 8-8, and needed to win their last four just to post that record.  They were overhyped and they underachieved.  I think this is the year that the Eagles put it all together.  That should be easy in Week 1 when they face the Cleveland Browns.  The Browns are young (15 rookies and 11 second year players on their roster) and inexperience is a big obstacle, especially in the early weeks of the season.  The Browns are coming off a season where they had one of…